STUMP BEZOS

Spirit Halloween converts empty retail store like Big Lots & Party City to seasonal stores. What is the #1 store this year they converted?

[ Answer at bottom of email ]

💰 WHAT YOUR ECOM BUSINESS is WORTH In 2026

In 2026, a typical small online store sells for about 1.5 to 3 times its annual profit. A diversified brand with a real team can fetch 6 to 10 times. The gap between those two numbers is the most important thing a store owner can understand about exits right now.

In 2021, aggregators were writing checks at 5x to 7x for almost any Amazon brand with a pulse. That market is gone. Buyers today are pickier, slower and far more interested in how you make money than how fast you grew.

Here is what stores are really selling for, and what moves your number up.


The cooldown, by the numbers

On Flippa, the average e-commerce profit multiple has dropped 38% from its peak. It hit 2.48x in H1 2023 and was 1.54x by H1 2026.

Revenue multiples fell harder. They went from 1.12x in H2 2022 to 0.51x, a 55% drop. The message from buyers is plain: they pay for profit, not top-line growth.

The buyer pool has changed too. FE International counts roughly 57 aggregators left, down from more than 100. Empire Flippers says aggregators have largely been replaced by entrepreneurs and cash-flow buyers. Many of them use SBA loans, which capped individual 7(a) loans at $5 million until a July 2026 rule let borrowers combine programs for up to $10 million.

It isn't all bad news. Brokers describe the 2026 market as stable rather than falling, with deal volume back and buyers competing hard for well-run brands. The discount lands mostly on stores that are messy, single-channel or owner-dependent.

Why channel mix beats almost everything

At the same profit, an Amazon-only brand sells for 1 to 2 turns less than a brand that also sells DTC and in retail. That is the single biggest gap in the market.

Buyers aren't down on Amazon itself. They worry about concentration: one fee change, policy change or ranking drop they can't control. FE International says anything above about 70% of revenue from one platform pulls a brand to the bottom of its band.

FE gives an example worth sharing. Picture three businesses, each earning $500,000 in SDE:

Business

Multiple

Value (before inventory)

One hero product, 95% Amazon

2.5x SDE

$1.25M

Owned Shopify brand, 30% repeat rate, email drives 20% of sales

3.4x SDE

$1.7M

Own site + Amazon + 400 retail doors, run by a general manager

5.5x EBITDA (about $380K)

About $2.1M

The earnings are the same, but the price spread is more than $750,000. You don't need to leave Amazon to close the gap. Breakwater says moving even 20–30% of revenue to your own store and email list can meaningfully lift your multiple.

SDE vs. EBITDA in plain English

The two measures answer different questions, and mixing them up will cost you credibility with buyers.

SDE (seller's discretionary earnings) is what one owner-operator takes home. Start with net profit, then add back your own salary, personal expenses run through the business and true one-off costs. Buyers use it for businesses worth under about $5 million.

EBITDA is what the business earns with a paid team running it. Management salaries stay in as a real cost. It applies above about $10 million. Between $5 million and $10 million, the depth of your team decides which measure buyers use.

SDE is the bigger number, so never multiply it by an EBITDA-sized multiple. Here is the formula in its simplest form:

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{Sale price} = {trailing 12-month earnings} times {multiple} + {sellable inventory at cost}

Inventory is added on top in nearly every deal. Aged or excess stock usually gets cut or discounted.

How to add a turn to your multiple

On $500,000 of SDE, one extra turn is worth $500,000, and most of the work is in your control. Flippa suggests starting at least 90 days before you list. The bigger moves, such as adding a channel, take 12 to 24 months to show up in your numbers.

☐ Clean up the books. Use accrual accounting, reconcile Shopify and Amazon payouts, and keep add-backs conservative and documented.
☐ Add a second channel. Even 15–20% of revenue from a second channel changes how a buyer models risk.
☐ Prove repeat buying. A repeat rate above 30% is strong, and an LTV-to-CAC ratio of 3:1 or better shows healthy unit economics.
☐ Grow the owned audience. Email and SMS revenue transfers with the sale. Rented reach from ads doesn't.
☐ Protect margin. Breakwater cites gross margins above 60% and net margins above 15% after ad spend as what buyers want to see.
☐ Get yourself out of the day-to-day. Write SOPs, hand off supplier relationships and show the business runs without you.
☐ Lock in the moat. That means trademarks, Brand Registry and backup suppliers.
☐ Get ready for AI search. Buyers have started asking how your catalog shows up in AI shopping tools, so clean, structured product data now counts.
☐ Time the listing. List after your strongest season, so your trailing 12 months include it.

Your multiple measures how confident a buyer is that your profit will survive the handover. Owning your customers, selling in more than one place and running the business without you are what build that confidence. All three matter more than how big your revenue is.

For context, public specialty retailers trade at about 11.5x EBITDA. Every step toward a professionally run, multi-channel brand moves you closer to that ceiling.

🛠️ BDSN SOFTWARE TOOL of the DAY 🛠️

Most brands think they’re winning their main keywords, then find out they own 1% to 5% of the market. The TikTok Shop numbers were just as sharp: sellers with 1,000+ videos are 8% of accounts but drive 60% of sales.

TrackMyASIN gives sellers a daily read on the keywords they think they own. It was built by Anthony, who describes what it does:

  • A Chrome extension that shows BSR, estimated sales and revenue right on Amazon pages

  • A search-results analyzer that gives each keyword a 0-100 Opportunity Score

  • Daily keyword rank re-checks on paid plans

Plans run $39.99-$149.99/month, with a 7-day trial.

Also from the same team:

ShopAd.ai is for brands selling on their own Shopify store. It turns product pages into vertical video ads, then sets up and runs the Meta campaigns. Merchants approve or edit every ad before it goes live. Plans are $49-$249/month. It speaks to the point above: the brands that win keep publishing video.

EcomNexusHub is for sellers adding Walmart, TikTok Shop and Shopify next to Amazon. It tracks sales-tax economic nexus across Shopify, Amazon, Etsy and more, in all 50 states. It keeps marketplace-facilitator sales separate, paid plans export CPA-ready CSVs, and there’s a free 60-second audit.

🚀 AMAZON is REPLACING YOUR MAIN IMAGE with AI

Amazon Is Replacing Your Main Image With an AI Lifestyle Scene

Amazon is swapping some seller main images for AI-generated lifestyle scenes. They are live in search results right now.

Talal Asad posted a search results screenshot in the BDSS Whatsapp group (785+ 7-figure sellers). Every main image in a body scrub search was a lifestyle photo. Body wash and skincare jars sat in soft bathroom settings instead of on white.

So far it looks like a test, mostly in health and beauty. It also looks selective. You may not see it unless you search for your own product the way a shopper would.

The rule Amazon wrote for us

Amazon’s main image rule is pure white. RGB 255, 255, 255.

Everybody knows it. Plenty of us have had a listing suppressed over it.

Now Amazon’s own AI is generating bathroom scenes and pushing them live as main images.

So what’s the rule now?

If lifestyle main images are fine, say so and update the guidelines. If they’re not fine, stop generating them. You can’t enforce a rule on sellers and ignore it yourself.

The quality is worse

If Amazon made these images better, I’d say thank you. They didn’t. From what sellers are reporting:

  • The product gets smaller in the frame. Less product, less attention.

  • The white background turns pale grey. Search results are white, so the image loses contrast and blends into the page.

  • Packaging text goes soft. On mobile, at thumbnail size, you can’t read it.

Smaller, lower contrast, less legible. All three hurt click-through rate. That isn’t optimization. It’s a downgrade.

Brands paid for those photos

Brands spent real money on their main images. Photographers, studios, retouching, testing. At a minimum, Amazon should get consent from the brand owner before changing them.

And if you have a main image experiment running right now, I have no idea how Amazon is handling that. If your test variant gets replaced in search, your data is polluted and you may never know it.

Also being tested: a new product page layout

Separately, Amazon is reportedly testing a redesigned product detail page. In the reported experiment:

  • The Buy Box and main image sit front and center.

  • The main image takes up roughly 60% of the page.

  • Bullets, descriptions and A+ Content are missing from the initial view and pushed further down.

This is a reported test, not a confirmed change to Amazon’s listing requirements. But look at where both tests point. Amazon is putting the image in charge of the sale. If the image does the heavy lifting, you can’t afford to have it altered without your knowledge.

What to do this week

  1. Search your own products as a shopper would. Use your top keywords, on desktop and on your phone. Don’t just check your listing page. Check the search results.

  2. Screenshot anything that looks off. Capture the date, the keyword and the device.

  3. Compare against your original main image. Look at product size in the frame, background brightness and label legibility at thumbnail size.

  4. Check your CTR. If a product shows a click-through drop with no other explanation, the image is a suspect.

  5. Pause and note any running main image experiments on affected products. Treat that data with caution.

  6. Report it. Open a case with Seller Support and flag it in your account manager channel if you have one. Post it in seller groups. Amazon responds to volume.

Amazon controls the shelf, and it is showing it will edit what’s on it. Your listing is only partly yours. Check it regularly, and document everything.

Your Next UGC Creator Already Bought Your Product

You’re shipping orders every day. Each one is an opportunity to collect your next customer video.

GetReviews Social Proof Videos makes it easy. Add a QR code to your packaging or inserts. Customers scan, complete a short survey, and upload a video from their phone.

Your brand owns the content. Use it in ads, on product pages, and across your social channels—without coordinating creator campaigns or chasing video files.

Want written reviews, too? GetReviews helps you collect those alongside your video content.

For Amazon, TikTok Shop, Walmart, and sellers with their own websites.

Try your first month FREE with code 1FREEONME.

Start Collecting Customer Videos →

📺 YOU GOTTA SEE THIS

What do you do when your e-commerce business gets crushed by Amazon sellers, COVID shutdowns, and skyrocketing overhead? You completely rewrite the rules of your industry.

In this episode of Marketing Misfits, Norm Farrar and Kevin King sit down with Simon Booth, the founder of Kiddimoto, a company that single-handedly invented the wooden balance bike market 23 years ago.

Simon shares his wild journey from hand-building 120 bikes in his backyard workshop to surviving a brutal grilling on BBC's Dragons' Den (the UK's Shark Tank).

Discover how a massive surge in TV publicity led to a nightmare of big-box retail demands and ruthless Amazon knockoffs, and the ultimate "epiphany" that saved his brand: ditching direct-to-consumer e-commerce entirely to secure exclusive licensing deals with Ducati, Honda, and Kawasaki.

If you are burnt out on Amazon PPC, dealing with Chinese copycats, or trying to figure out how to build a true lifestyle brand, Simon’s licensing playbook will change how you view product development.

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🥃 PARTING SHOT

“Your best self is your real self”

✌🏼 Here’s to your success …

The answer to today’s STUMP BEZOS is
153 former JoAnn Fabrics stores are now Spirit Halloween